Description
A time-tested guide to stock trading market cycles
Published every year since 1968, the Stock Trader’s Almanac is a practical investment tool with a wealth of information organized in calendar format. Everyone from well-known money managers to savvy traders and investors relies upon this annual resource for its in-depth analyses and insights. The Stock Trader’s Almanac 2012 contains essential historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and highlights seasonal trading opportunities and dangers.
The Stock Trader’s Almanac 2012 is packed with timely insights and targeted analysis to help you navigate turbulent markets and beat the odds in the year ahead. This trusted guide combines over a century’s worth of data, statistics, and trends along with vital analysis you won’t get anywhere else. The 2012 edition includes a revision of the Seasonal Switching Strategy that significantly boosts returns as well as new information on the coming Super Boom. Other key seasonal and cyclical updates include pre-presidential election year cycles and perspectives, how the government manipulates the economy to stay in power, incumbent victories vs. incumbent defeats, and the market impact of the lame duck year.
- Alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies to help forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence
- An indispensable annual resource, trusted for over 40 years by traders and investors
- The data in theAlmanac is some of the best in the business
For its wealth of information and the authority of its sources, the Stock Trader’s Almanac stands alone as the guide to intelligent investing.
Table of Contents
10 2012 Strategy Calendar
12 January Almanac
14 January’s First Five Days: An “Early Warning” System
16 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only Seven Significant Errors in 61 Years
18 January Barometer in Graphic Form Since 1950
20 February Almanac
22 Hot January Industries Beat S&P 500 Next 11 Months
24 2012 Presidential Election Year Perspectives
26 The Second Year of Decades
28 March Almanac
30 Market Charts of Presidential Election Years
32 How to Trade Best Months Switching Strategies
34 How the Government Manipulates the Economy to Stay in Power
36 April Almanac
38 Incumbent Party Wins and Losses
40 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool
42 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record
44 Top Performing Months Past 611/3Years: Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials
46 May Almanac
48 Best Six Months: Still An Eye-Popping Strategy
50 MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results
52 Only Two Losses Last 7 Months of Election Years
54 June Almanac
56 Top Performing NASDAQ Months Past 401/3Years
58 Get More out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD-Timing
60 Triple Returns, Fewer Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle
62 July Almanac
64 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish
66 2010 Daily Dow Point Changes
68 Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday
70 A Rally for All Seasons
72 August Almanac
74 Fifteen Year Projection
76 Aura of the Triple Witch—4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After
78 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning
82 A Correction for All Seasons
84 First-Trading-Day-of-The-Month Phenomenon: Dow Gains More One Day than All Other Days
86 Market Behavior Three Days before and Three Days after Holidays
88 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined
90 October Almanac
92 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays
94 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar
98 November Almanac
100 Fourth Quarter Market Magic
102 Trading the Thanksgiving Market
104 Most of the So-Called “January Effect” Takes Place in the Last Half of December
106 December Almanac
108 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December
110 Wall Street’s Only Free Lunch Served before Christmas
112 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall
114 Best Investment Book of the Year: George Lindsay and the A rt of Technical Analysis;Year’s Top Investment Books
118 2012 Strategy Calendar
DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANK.
121 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2012
122 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2012
123 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2012
124 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2012
125 NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2012
126 Recent NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2012
127 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2012
128 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2012
129 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon
130 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 178-Year Saga Continues
131 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900
132 Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/NASDAQ Composite Since 1971
133 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February
134 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April
135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June
136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August
137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October
138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December
139 A Typical Day in the Market
140 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis
141 Wednesday Most Profitable Day of Week
142 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week
143 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952
144 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971
145 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks
146 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks
147 November, December, and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span
148 November through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run
149 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1901
150 Standard & Poor’s 500 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1930
151 NASDAQ, Russell 1000, and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1971
152 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950
153 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950
154 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950
155 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950
156 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950
157 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971
158 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971
159 Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979
160 Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979
161 10 Best Days by Point and Percent
162 10 Worst Days by Point and Percent
163 10 BestWeeks by Point and Percent
164 10 WorstWeeks by Point and Percent
165 10 Best Months by Point and Percent
166 10 Worst Months by Point and Percent
167 10 Best Quarters by Point and Percent
168 10 Worst Quarters by Point and Percent
169 10 BestYears by Point and Percent
170 10 WorstYears by Point and Percent
STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION.
172 Portfolio at Start of 2012
173 Additional Purchases
175 Short-Term Transactions
177 Long-Term Transactions
179 Interest/Dividends Received during 2012/Brokerage Account Data 2012
180 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2012
182 Weekly Indicator Data 2012
184 Monthly Indicator Data 2012
185 Portfolio at End of 2012
186 If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will; Performance Record of Recommendations
187 Individual Retirement Account (IRA): Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised
188 Top 300 Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)
190 Option Trading Codes
191 G. M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival
192 G. M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist
Author Information
Jeffrey A. Hirsch (South Nyack, NY) is president of Hirsch Organization and has worked with Yale Hirsch for over 15 years. In 2001 he took over as president and editor. He appears frequently on CNBC, Fox Biz, Yahoo! Tech Ticker, and Bloomberg to talk about market cycles and seasonal trends. He also edits the monthly Almanac InvestoreNewsletter, a digital subscription-based toolkit for active traders and investors.
The Hirsch Organization (South Nyack, NY) was founded by Yale Hirsch (Nyack, NY) who first published The Stock Trader’s Almanac, which provides historical information to investors, in 1967.